I used to visit this site just about every day leading up to the 2004 presidential race. While many news reports may give you national polls on potential presidential match-ups, we all know that only the electoral college matters. The folks at the site post the latest polls in each state and put the results together to show who would win the election based on state victories.
If you visit the Obama v. McCain and Clinton v. McCain pages, you'll see that both races are close. McCain does better than both Democratic candidates in Montana with Obama being the stronger of the two.
It is interesting to look at the big 4 swing states -- Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida.
Against Clinton, McCain at this point could amazingly lose 3 of the 4 and still win the election.
Of course, that's assuming that the other things are actually plausible -- like him winning Oregon and Washington.
Still, fascinating stuff for us political junkies.
Posted by: Montana Headlines | April 10, 2008 at 04:13 PM
I was a little thrown off by the Washington state and Oregon numbers myself. It's hard for me to image that McCain could pull things off there.
I think some numbers are a little too favorable for Obama at the moment as well(Texas, North Dakota, and even Colorado). I think when everything settles, these states will fall into the Republican column.
As things change in the coming months, I think we'll come to realize how much they've stayed the same since 2000 and 2004 in most states.
Posted by: montanamainstreetblog | April 10, 2008 at 04:23 PM